How much will solar power cost in 2030?

In 2016, the U.S. Department of Energy’s Solar Energy Technologies Office set a goal to reduce the unsubsidized levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of utility-scale photovoltaics (PV) to 3 cents/kWh by 2030. Utility PV systems were benchmarked to have an LCOE of approximately 5 cents/kWh in 2020 (Feldman, Ramasamy et al. 2021).

How has solar power changed over time?

Both are measured on logarithmic scales, and the trend follows a straight line. That means the fall in cost has been exponential. Costs have fallen by around 20% every time the global cumulative capacity doubles. Over four decades, solar power has transformed from one of the most expensive electricity sources to the cheapest in many countries.

How much do solar panels cost?

Data from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) documented that residential solar panel installations cost about $8.70 per watt in 2010, meaning the average 6 kilowatt (kW) solar installation in 2010 cost about $52,200 before any incentives.

How have solar panels cost and efficiency changed over time?

Let’s take a look at how solar panel cost and efficiency have changed over time. Solar panels are about 60% cheaper and 40% more efficient than they were in 2010. Solar panels in 2010 cost about $8.70 per watt and were about 15% efficient. Today, solar panels cost about $3.00 per watt on average and are between 19% and 22% efficient.

How has residential solar changed over the last decade?

The evolution of residential solar over the last decade has been astonishing, to say the least. In 2024, solar panels are cheaper and more efficient than ever!

Are soft costs affecting solar installation costs?

As in previous years, soft costs remain a large and persistent portion of installation costs, for both solar and storage systems, and especially for commercial and residential systems. “A significant portion of the cost declines over the past decade can be attributed to an 85% cost decline in module price.